A Do-it-Yourself (DIY) Valuation of Tesla: Of Investment Regret and Disagreement!

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Added 4 years ago by Voyage

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A week ago (January 30), I wrote a post on Tesla, where I valued the stock at $427 and said that I had sold my stock for $640. In the next two trading days, the stock zoomed to $900, and as is always the case with Tesla, I heard from both sides of the divide, with bulls accusing me of missing its true potential and bears arguing that I had gone over to the dark side. While I argued that this was just my value for Tesla, driving my decision, not the value driving others, I guess that did not come through, In this post, I am reframing the valuation in terms of four key levers: growth, profitability, investment efficiency and risk, and you can pick your own story for Tesla and I will value your story. So, good luck and let's get started.
Slides: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/blog/TeslaDIY.pdf
Blog Post: https://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2020/02/a-do-it-yourself-diy-valuation-of-tesla.html
DIY Valuation: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/blog/TeslaJan2020DIY.xlsx